| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04 | AT | SMU (#46) | L | 67.9 | - | 81.5 | 8.8% | Q1 |
| 02/08 | Florida Atlantic (#32) | L | 77.8 | - | 81.4 | 35.1% | Q1 | |
| 02/11 | AT | Tulsa (#180) | L | 74.7 | - | 77.8 | 37.5% | Q3 |
| 02/18 | North Texas (#76) | L | 65.5 | - | 67.9 | 39.1% | Q3 | |
| 02/21 | Rice (#203) | W | 76.5 | - | 70.5 | 73.7% | Q4 | |
| 02/25 | AT | Tulane (#111) | L | 80.4 | - | 87.1 | 25.8% | Q2 |
| 02/28 | Wichita St. (#158) | W | 78.6 | - | 73.2 | 71.4% | Q3 | |
| 03/03 | AT | Memphis (#83) | L | 76.5 | - | 82.6 | 27.1% | Q2 |
| 03/07 | AT | Temple (#233) | W | 78.9 | - | 74.8 | 66.4% | Q4 |
| 03/10 | SMU (#46) | L | 72.3 | - | 77.1 | 30.9% | Q2 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Bradley (#59) | L | 71 | - | 73 | 93.8 | 96.4 | Q2 | |
| 11/10 | VS | Clemson (#37) | L | 76 | - | 77 | 106.7 | 108.1 | Q1 |
| 11/12 | VS | Maryland (#63) | W | 66 | - | 63 | 94.0 | 89.7 | Q2 |
| 11/16 | Alcorn St. (#307) | W | 80 | - | 77 | 102.7 | 98.8 | Q4 | |
| 11/21 | AT | Middle Tennessee (#303) | W | 58 | - | 57 | 96.5 | 94.9 | Q4 |
| 11/25 | Furman (#142) | W | 92 | - | 86 | 133.5 | 124.8 | Q3 | |
| 11/28 | McNeese St. (#85) | L | 60 | - | 81 | 90.9 | 122.7 | Q2 | |
| 12/01 | Southern Miss (#230) | L | 82 | - | 85 | 117.6 | 121.9 | Q4 | |
| 12/09 | AT | Arkansas St. (#172) | L | 68 | - | 87 | 102.4 | 131.0 | Q3 |
| 12/13 | AT | Alabama A&M (#344) | W | 93 | - | 82 | 132.3 | 116.7 | Q4 |
| 12/17 |
Montevallo
|
W | 92 | - | 56 | 123.6 | 75.2 | - | |
| 12/22 | Drake (#50) | W | 79 | - | 78 | 118.8 | 117.2 | Q2 | |
| 12/29 | UNC Asheville (#168) | W | 90 | - | 85 | 130.1 | 122.8 | Q3 | |
| 01/02 | AT | UTSA (#278) | W | 78 | - | 76 | 103.6 | 100.9 | Q4 |
| 01/07 | South Florida (#107) | W | 75 | - | 71 | 106.8 | 101.1 | Q3 | |
| 01/14 | AT | Florida Atlantic (#32) | L | 73 | - | 86 | 100.8 | 118.8 | Q1 |
| 01/17 | Tulane (#111) | W | 83 | - | 69 | 108.8 | 90.4 | Q3 | |
| 01/20 | East Carolina (#177) | W | 69 | - | 61 | 102.0 | 90.2 | Q4 | |
| 01/23 | AT | Charlotte (#105) | L | 70 | - | 76 | 115.9 | 125.9 | Q2 |
| 01/28 | Memphis (#83) | W | 97 | - | 88 | 118.2 | 107.3 | Q3 | |
| 01/31 | AT | North Texas (#76) | W | 82 | - | 79 | 116.9 | 112.6 | Q2 |