| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Marshall (#220) | W | 84.6 | - | 72.6 | 87.0% | Q4 | |
| 02/10 | Kent St. (#174) | W | 78.9 | - | 71.8 | 77.2% | Q4 | |
| 02/15 | Arkansas St. (#172) | W | 84.6 | - | 75.9 | 80.6% | Q4 | |
| 02/17 | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 82.4 | - | 69.2 | 90.3% | Q4 | |
| 02/22 | AT | Arkansas St. (#172) | L | 78.3 | - | 81.3 | 37.4% | Q3 |
| 02/24 | AT | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 73.6 | - | 64.4 | 82.8% | Q4 |
| 02/28 | AT | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | L | 66.0 | - | 71.9 | 26.9% | Q2 |
| 03/01 | AT | Texas St. (#255) | W | 69.9 | - | 63.3 | 75.7% | Q4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 |
Fort Lauderdale
|
W | 92 | - | 47 | 117.3 | 59.9 | - | |
| 11/08 | AT | Ohio (#166) | L | 70 | - | 88 | 92.7 | 116.5 | Q3 |
| 11/10 | AT | Oregon St. (#167) | L | 80 | - | 81 | 88.7 | 89.9 | Q3 |
| 11/14 |
Reinhardt
|
W | 111 | - | 46 | 139.1 | 57.6 | - | |
| 11/20 | Sam Houston St. (#191) | L | 86 | - | 88 | 104.5 | 107.0 | Q4 | |
| 11/24 | Grambling St. (#316) | W | 80 | - | 67 | 111.9 | 93.7 | Q4 | |
| 11/27 | AT | Eastern Kentucky (#189) | L | 76 | - | 77 | 110.3 | 111.8 | Q3 |
| 12/01 | SIU Edwardsville (#262) | W | 83 | - | 60 | 128.1 | 92.6 | Q4 | |
| 12/09 | AT | Dayton (#25) | L | 70 | - | 82 | 105.9 | 124.1 | Q1 |
| 12/12 |
Southern-N.O.
|
W | 110 | - | 63 | 146.0 | 83.6 | - | |
| 12/19 | AT | Mississippi (#77) | L | 53 | - | 74 | 76.4 | 106.6 | Q1 |
| 12/21 | Eastern Kentucky (#189) | W | 88 | - | 81 | 119.1 | 109.7 | Q4 | |
| 12/30 | AT | Coastal Carolina (#318) | W | 72 | - | 65 | 107.6 | 97.2 | Q4 |
| 01/04 | Old Dominion (#272) | W | 86 | - | 73 | 108.9 | 92.5 | Q4 | |
| 01/06 | Appalachian St. (#82) | W | 66 | - | 62 | 96.2 | 90.3 | Q3 | |
| 01/10 | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | W | 79 | - | 73 | 106.8 | 98.7 | Q3 | |
| 01/13 | Southern Miss (#230) | W | 82 | - | 56 | 120.8 | 82.5 | Q4 | |
| 01/18 | AT | South Alabama (#282) | L | 71 | - | 74 | 100.8 | 105.0 | Q4 |
| 01/20 | AT | Southern Miss (#230) | L | 63 | - | 64 | 98.2 | 99.7 | Q3 |
| 01/24 | Texas St. (#255) | W | 78 | - | 65 | 112.3 | 93.6 | Q4 | |
| 01/27 | South Alabama (#282) | W | 83 | - | 79 | 118.6 | 112.9 | Q4 | |
| 02/01 | AT | Georgia Southern (#293) | W | 84 | - | 63 | 122.4 | 91.8 | Q4 |
| 02/03 | AT | Georgia St. (#219) | W | 78 | - | 74 | 111.8 | 106.1 | Q3 |