| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | AT | Eastern Michigan (#338) | W | 77.8 | - | 64.3 | 91.6% | Q4 |
| 02/10 | AT | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 70.0 | - | 75.9 | 26.3% | Q2 |
| 02/17 | Ohio (#166) | W | 81.1 | - | 73.7 | 78.4% | Q4 | |
| 02/20 | Akron (#91) | L | 72.9 | - | 74.9 | 41.1% | Q3 | |
| 02/24 | AT | Bowling Green (#212) | W | 81.5 | - | 74.4 | 77.0% | Q3 |
| 02/27 | Northern Illinois (#287) | W | 86.4 | - | 74.0 | 89.0% | Q4 | |
| 03/02 | AT | Buffalo (#342) | W | 86.9 | - | 64.7 | 97.8% | Q4 |
| 03/05 | AT | Miami OH (#226) | W | 78.3 | - | 73.2 | 70.4% | Q3 |
| 03/08 | Kent St. (#174) | W | 78.5 | - | 72.5 | 74.3% | Q4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Detroit (#358) | W | 94 | - | 60 | 130.9 | 83.6 | Q4 | |
| 11/11 | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | W | 87 | - | 78 | 125.0 | 112.1 | Q3 | |
| 11/14 | AT | Wright St. (#157) | W | 78 | - | 77 | 118.3 | 116.8 | Q3 |
| 11/21 | VS | New Mexico (#21) | L | 84 | - | 92 | 102.3 | 112.0 | Q1 |
| 11/22 | VS | UC Irvine (#70) | L | 71 | - | 77 | 102.9 | 111.6 | Q2 |
| 11/24 | VS | Indiana St. (#36) | L | 74 | - | 76 | 98.9 | 101.6 | Q1 |
| 12/02 | George Mason (#98) | L | 77 | - | 86 | 111.8 | 124.8 | Q3 | |
| 12/06 | AT | Oakland (#137) | W | 69 | - | 68 | 100.4 | 99.0 | Q3 |
| 12/09 | Northern Iowa (#132) | W | 84 | - | 80 | 115.9 | 110.4 | Q3 | |
| 12/13 | Marshall (#220) | W | 88 | - | 87 | 116.7 | 115.3 | Q4 | |
| 12/20 | Vermont (#115) | L | 60 | - | 86 | 86.2 | 123.6 | Q3 | |
| 12/23 | AT | West Virginia (#129) | L | 81 | - | 91 | 110.2 | 123.9 | Q3 |
| 01/02 | AT | Ohio (#166) | W | 86 | - | 77 | 127.7 | 114.3 | Q3 |
| 01/05 | Miami OH (#226) | W | 68 | - | 64 | 111.5 | 104.9 | Q4 | |
| 01/09 | AT | Kent St. (#174) | W | 89 | - | 75 | 123.7 | 104.2 | Q3 |
| 01/13 | Ball St. (#240) | W | 77 | - | 72 | 124.5 | 116.4 | Q4 | |
| 01/16 | Buffalo (#342) | W | 77 | - | 66 | 107.5 | 92.1 | Q4 | |
| 01/19 | AT | Central Michigan (#249) | L | 62 | - | 65 | 85.5 | 89.6 | Q4 |
| 01/23 | AT | Northern Illinois (#287) | W | 89 | - | 73 | 127.7 | 104.7 | Q4 |
| 01/27 | Bowling Green (#212) | W | 88 | - | 72 | 126.3 | 103.3 | Q4 | |
| 01/30 | Western Michigan (#285) | W | 88 | - | 63 | 128.3 | 91.9 | Q4 | |
| 02/02 | AT | Akron (#91) | L | 70 | - | 77 | 99.8 | 109.7 | Q2 |