| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 58.3 | - | 68.9 | 13.0% | Q3 | |
| 02/10 | Ball St. (#240) | L | 67.2 | - | 67.4 | 49.3% | Q4 | |
| 02/15 | AT | South Alabama (#282) | W | 72.8 | - | 72.1 | 53.1% | Q4 |
| 02/17 | AT | Southern Miss (#230) | L | 62.8 | - | 66.6 | 33.7% | Q3 |
| 02/22 | AT | Georgia Southern (#293) | W | 70.8 | - | 70.2 | 52.6% | Q4 |
| 02/24 | AT | Georgia St. (#219) | L | 69.6 | - | 72.1 | 39.3% | Q3 |
| 02/27 | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 68.0 | - | 67.1 | 54.0% | Q4 | |
| 03/01 | Troy (#133) | L | 63.3 | - | 69.9 | 24.3% | Q3 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | AT | Little Rock (#270) | L | 66 | - | 71 | 89.1 | 95.8 | Q4 |
| 11/11 | AT | Miami OH (#226) | W | 75 | - | 65 | 107.7 | 93.3 | Q3 |
| 11/14 | AT | Oklahoma (#31) | L | 54 | - | 93 | 76.6 | 131.9 | Q1 |
| 11/17 | UTSA (#278) | W | 72 | - | 62 | 105.2 | 90.6 | Q4 | |
| 11/21 | VS | McNeese St. (#85) | L | 48 | - | 59 | 83.5 | 102.7 | Q2 |
| 11/22 | VS | Southern Utah (#201) | L | 67 | - | 74 | 99.7 | 110.1 | Q4 |
| 11/25 | AT | UT Arlington (#159) | W | 73 | - | 66 | 102.9 | 93.0 | Q3 |
| 11/30 | AT | Texas (#23) | L | 58 | - | 77 | 85.8 | 113.9 | Q1 |
| 12/11 |
Jarvis Christian
|
W | 107 | - | 58 | 137.0 | 74.3 | - | |
| 12/15 | AT | Sam Houston St. (#191) | W | 73 | - | 60 | 106.0 | 87.2 | Q3 |
| 12/18 |
LeTourneau
|
W | 110 | - | 68 | 157.6 | 97.5 | - | |
| 12/21 | AT | Houston (#1) | L | 37 | - | 72 | 53.6 | 104.3 | Q1 |
| 12/30 | AT | James Madison (#69) | L | 65 | - | 82 | 99.0 | 125.0 | Q1 |
| 01/04 | Coastal Carolina (#318) | L | 63 | - | 71 | 90.6 | 102.1 | Q4 | |
| 01/06 | Marshall (#220) | L | 75 | - | 79 | 107.6 | 113.4 | Q4 | |
| 01/11 | AT | Arkansas St. (#172) | L | 82 | - | 85 | 122.1 | 126.6 | Q3 |
| 01/13 | AT | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 67 | - | 54 | 110.8 | 89.3 | Q4 |
| 01/17 | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | L | 68 | - | 86 | 89.9 | 113.7 | Q3 | |
| 01/20 | Arkansas St. (#172) | L | 72 | - | 79 | 105.2 | 115.4 | Q4 | |
| 01/24 | AT | Troy (#133) | L | 65 | - | 78 | 93.6 | 112.3 | Q3 |
| 01/28 | AT | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | L | 46 | - | 66 | 67.4 | 96.7 | Q2 |
| 02/01 | South Alabama (#282) | W | 74 | - | 66 | 105.4 | 94.0 | Q4 | |
| 02/03 | Southern Miss (#230) | W | 60 | - | 55 | 91.6 | 84.0 | Q4 |