| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Old Dominion (#272) | W | 75.4 | - | 67.4 | 79.3% | Q4 | |
| 02/10 | Western Michigan (#285) | W | 76.1 | - | 67.0 | 82.7% | Q4 | |
| 02/15 | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 73.0 | - | 65.6 | 78.8% | Q4 | |
| 02/17 | Texas St. (#255) | W | 66.6 | - | 62.8 | 66.3% | Q4 | |
| 02/22 | South Alabama (#282) | W | 75.4 | - | 65.9 | 83.8% | Q4 | |
| 02/24 | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | L | 69.1 | - | 71.0 | 42.0% | Q3 | |
| 02/28 | AT | South Alabama (#282) | L | 73.3 | - | 75.3 | 41.5% | Q4 |
| 03/01 | AT | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | L | 61.1 | - | 73.2 | 10.9% | Q2 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 |
William Carey
|
W | 64 | - | 42 | 90.0 | 59.1 | - | |
| 11/10 | AT | Akron (#91) | L | 54 | - | 72 | 79.5 | 105.9 | Q2 |
| 11/15 |
Xavier (LA)
|
W | 76 | - | 45 | 100.4 | 59.5 | - | |
| 11/19 | VS | Utah Valley (#175) | L | 65 | - | 67 | 94.2 | 97.1 | Q3 |
| 11/20 | VS | Cal St. Fullerton (#227) | L | 67 | - | 74 | 104.9 | 115.9 | Q4 |
| 11/22 | South Dakota St. (#156) | L | 54 | - | 65 | 84.9 | 102.1 | Q4 | |
| 11/25 | AT | Milwaukee (#248) | W | 90 | - | 84 | 130.0 | 121.3 | Q4 |
| 12/01 | AT | UAB (#125) | W | 85 | - | 82 | 121.9 | 117.6 | Q2 |
| 12/09 | Northwestern St. (#327) | W | 83 | - | 74 | 124.7 | 111.2 | Q4 | |
| 12/13 | AT | McNeese St. (#85) | L | 48 | - | 67 | 76.2 | 106.4 | Q1 |
| 12/18 | AT | Lamar (#224) | W | 82 | - | 79 | 106.8 | 102.9 | Q3 |
| 12/23 | VS | Mississippi (#77) | L | 72 | - | 89 | 106.6 | 131.7 | Q2 |
| 12/30 | AT | Georgia Southern (#293) | L | 67 | - | 88 | 87.8 | 115.3 | Q4 |
| 01/04 | Georgia St. (#219) | W | 79 | - | 73 | 100.9 | 93.3 | Q4 | |
| 01/06 | James Madison (#69) | W | 81 | - | 71 | 113.5 | 99.5 | Q2 | |
| 01/11 | AT | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 71 | - | 58 | 99.4 | 81.2 | Q4 |
| 01/13 | AT | Troy (#133) | L | 56 | - | 82 | 82.5 | 120.8 | Q3 |
| 01/17 | Arkansas St. (#172) | W | 69 | - | 66 | 96.5 | 92.3 | Q4 | |
| 01/20 | Troy (#133) | W | 64 | - | 63 | 99.7 | 98.2 | Q3 | |
| 01/24 | AT | Coastal Carolina (#318) | W | 79 | - | 63 | 123.1 | 98.2 | Q4 |
| 01/27 | AT | Marshall (#220) | L | 67 | - | 83 | 104.1 | 129.0 | Q3 |
| 01/31 | AT | Arkansas St. (#172) | L | 71 | - | 78 | 108.2 | 118.8 | Q3 |
| 02/03 | AT | Texas St. (#255) | L | 55 | - | 60 | 84.0 | 91.6 | Q4 |