| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Georgia Southern (#293) | W | 83.3 | - | 77.2 | 73.4% | Q4 | |
| 02/10 | Northern Illinois (#287) | W | 82.9 | - | 79.6 | 63.3% | Q4 | |
| 02/15 | Texas St. (#255) | L | 72.1 | - | 72.8 | 46.9% | Q4 | |
| 02/17 | Arkansas St. (#172) | L | 80.8 | - | 82.6 | 42.6% | Q4 | |
| 02/22 | AT | Southern Miss (#230) | L | 65.9 | - | 75.4 | 16.2% | Q3 |
| 02/24 | AT | Arkansas St. (#172) | L | 75.8 | - | 88.4 | 10.5% | Q3 |
| 02/28 | Southern Miss (#230) | W | 75.3 | - | 73.3 | 58.5% | Q4 | |
| 03/01 | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 78.7 | - | 75.7 | 62.6% | Q4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 |
Mobile
|
L | 74 | - | 83 | 96.7 | 108.4 | - | |
| 11/11 | AT | Buffalo (#342) | W | 70 | - | 56 | 101.4 | 81.1 | Q4 |
| 11/14 | AT | Alabama (#5) | L | 46 | - | 102 | 66.6 | 147.6 | Q1 |
| 11/16 | Nicholls St. (#266) | L | 97 | - | 102 | 103.6 | 108.9 | Q4 | |
| 11/17 | Denver (#214) | W | 82 | - | 75 | 123.9 | 113.3 | Q4 | |
| 11/19 | SIU Edwardsville (#262) | W | 86 | - | 74 | 136.9 | 117.8 | Q4 | |
| 11/21 |
Lynn
|
W | 74 | - | 62 | 106.8 | 89.4 | - | |
| 11/25 | AT | Maryland (#63) | L | 55 | - | 68 | 87.8 | 108.6 | Q2 |
| 11/30 | AT | Jacksonville St. (#178) | L | 52 | - | 70 | 91.7 | 123.4 | Q3 |
| 12/06 | AT | Mercer (#251) | W | 83 | - | 62 | 117.6 | 87.8 | Q4 |
| 12/09 |
Spring Hill
|
W | 91 | - | 74 | 113.0 | 91.9 | - | |
| 12/21 | Alabama A&M (#344) | W | 83 | - | 67 | 106.0 | 85.5 | Q4 | |
| 12/30 | AT | Old Dominion (#272) | W | 61 | - | 59 | 84.1 | 81.3 | Q4 |
| 01/04 | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 84 | - | 91 | 106.2 | 115.1 | Q3 | |
| 01/06 | Georgia St. (#219) | L | 76 | - | 90 | 104.8 | 124.1 | Q4 | |
| 01/11 | AT | James Madison (#69) | L | 55 | - | 89 | 77.6 | 125.6 | Q1 |
| 01/13 | AT | Marshall (#220) | W | 91 | - | 85 | 114.8 | 107.2 | Q3 |
| 01/18 | Troy (#133) | W | 74 | - | 71 | 105.0 | 100.8 | Q3 | |
| 01/20 | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | L | 79 | - | 88 | 110.9 | 123.5 | Q3 | |
| 01/25 | AT | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | L | 66 | - | 80 | 89.0 | 107.9 | Q4 |
| 01/27 | AT | Troy (#133) | L | 79 | - | 83 | 112.9 | 118.6 | Q3 |
| 02/01 | AT | Texas St. (#255) | L | 66 | - | 74 | 94.0 | 105.4 | Q4 |
| 02/03 | AT | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | L | 60 | - | 80 | 86.1 | 114.7 | Q2 |