| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | AT | Jacksonville St. (#178) | L | 62.6 | - | 64.6 | 40.7% | Q3 |
| 02/15 | FIU (#290) | W | 81.9 | - | 73.4 | 80.2% | Q4 | |
| 02/17 | Liberty (#124) | L | 68.7 | - | 70.0 | 44.5% | Q3 | |
| 02/22 | AT | New Mexico St. (#254) | L | 66.7 | - | 71.0 | 32.5% | Q4 |
| 02/24 | AT | UTEP (#204) | L | 69.0 | - | 73.1 | 33.8% | Q3 |
| 03/02 | Middle Tennessee (#303) | W | 70.9 | - | 57.7 | 91.5% | Q4 | |
| 03/07 | AT | Louisiana Tech (#60) | L | 58.7 | - | 73.5 | 6.7% | Q1 |
| 03/09 | Jacksonville St. (#178) | L | 65.8 | - | 66.3 | 48.1% | Q4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | AT | Pacific (#341) | W | 64 | - | 57 | 79.5 | 70.8 | Q4 |
| 11/09 | Utah Valley (#175) | L | 73 | - | 79 | 89.8 | 97.2 | Q4 | |
| 11/12 | AT | Oklahoma St. (#127) | L | 70 | - | 85 | 102.8 | 124.8 | Q3 |
| 11/17 | AT | Mississippi (#77) | L | 67 | - | 70 | 101.7 | 106.2 | Q1 |
| 11/20 | AT | Troy (#133) | W | 88 | - | 86 | 107.0 | 104.5 | Q3 |
| 11/22 | VS | Grambling St. (#316) | W | 86 | - | 68 | 131.6 | 104.1 | Q4 |
| 11/25 |
Paul Quinn
|
W | 78 | - | 61 | 103.1 | 80.7 | - | |
| 11/29 | AT | Arizona St. (#135) | L | 61 | - | 78 | 80.7 | 103.1 | Q2 |
| 12/03 | Lamar (#224) | W | 90 | - | 70 | 134.0 | 104.2 | Q4 | |
| 12/09 | AT | Missouri St. (#136) | L | 60 | - | 69 | 84.0 | 96.6 | Q2 |
| 12/12 | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 63 | - | 62 | 94.5 | 93.0 | Q4 | |
| 12/15 | Texas St. (#255) | L | 60 | - | 73 | 87.2 | 106.0 | Q4 | |
| 12/20 | AT | Grand Canyon (#58) | L | 64 | - | 76 | 89.5 | 106.3 | Q1 |
| 12/28 | AT | Texas Tech (#27) | L | 60 | - | 96 | 86.1 | 137.7 | Q1 |
| 01/02 |
Dallas
|
W | 93 | - | 53 | 115.2 | 65.6 | - | |
| 01/06 | Louisiana Tech (#60) | W | 81 | - | 77 | 115.0 | 109.3 | Q2 | |
| 01/10 | Western Kentucky (#169) | W | 78 | - | 74 | 105.3 | 99.9 | Q3 | |
| 01/13 | AT | Middle Tennessee (#303) | W | 60 | - | 51 | 97.4 | 82.8 | Q4 |
| 01/20 | AT | Liberty (#124) | L | 66 | - | 82 | 100.6 | 125.0 | Q2 |
| 01/25 | New Mexico St. (#254) | W | 79 | - | 67 | 113.9 | 96.6 | Q4 | |
| 01/27 | UTEP (#204) | W | 60 | - | 56 | 85.8 | 80.1 | Q4 | |
| 02/01 | AT | Western Kentucky (#169) | W | 79 | - | 77 | 110.3 | 107.5 | Q3 |
| 02/03 | AT | FIU (#290) | L | 61 | - | 68 | 93.1 | 103.7 | Q4 |