| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04 | UAB (#125) | W | 81.5 | - | 67.9 | 91.2% | Q3 | |
| 02/07 | AT | Rice (#203) | W | 75.2 | - | 63.8 | 88.4% | Q3 |
| 02/11 | North Texas (#76) | W | 65.5 | - | 58.6 | 78.8% | Q3 | |
| 02/15 | AT | Tulane (#111) | W | 79.3 | - | 77.2 | 58.4% | Q2 |
| 02/18 | Memphis (#83) | W | 81.3 | - | 75.2 | 73.5% | Q3 | |
| 02/22 | AT | Florida Atlantic (#32) | L | 70.3 | - | 76.4 | 25.9% | Q1 |
| 02/25 | AT | South Florida (#107) | W | 72.6 | - | 68.3 | 67.7% | Q2 |
| 03/02 | UTSA (#278) | W | 92.2 | - | 68.8 | 98.1% | Q4 | |
| 03/06 | East Carolina (#177) | W | 72.8 | - | 57.0 | 95.0% | Q4 | |
| 03/10 | AT | UAB (#125) | W | 77.1 | - | 72.3 | 69.1% | Q2 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 |
Southwestern Assemblies
|
W | 82 | - | 63 | 108.2 | 83.2 | - | |
| 11/08 | Western Illinois (#257) | W | 90 | - | 53 | 117.7 | 69.3 | Q4 | |
| 11/09 | Lamar (#224) | W | 78 | - | 67 | 108.6 | 93.3 | Q4 | |
| 11/14 | Texas A&M (#48) | L | 66 | - | 79 | 93.6 | 112.1 | Q2 | |
| 11/20 | VS | West Virginia (#129) | W | 70 | - | 58 | 107.0 | 88.7 | Q3 |
| 11/22 | VS | Wisconsin (#15) | L | 61 | - | 69 | 100.1 | 113.2 | Q1 |
| 11/26 | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 70 | - | 57 | 114.2 | 93.0 | Q4 | |
| 11/29 | Dayton (#25) | L | 63 | - | 65 | 102.0 | 105.2 | Q1 | |
| 12/03 | Texas A&M Commerce (#320) | W | 90 | - | 47 | 139.6 | 72.9 | Q4 | |
| 12/06 | AT | Arizona St. (#135) | L | 74 | - | 76 | 97.7 | 100.4 | Q2 |
| 12/16 | AT | Florida St. (#75) | W | 68 | - | 57 | 103.8 | 87.0 | Q2 |
| 12/19 | Houston Christian (#340) | W | 89 | - | 53 | 126.2 | 75.2 | Q4 | |
| 12/22 | AT | Murray St. (#121) | W | 92 | - | 65 | 126.0 | 89.0 | Q3 |
| 01/02 | Charlotte (#105) | W | 66 | - | 54 | 105.9 | 86.6 | Q3 | |
| 01/07 | AT | Memphis (#83) | L | 59 | - | 62 | 83.1 | 87.3 | Q2 |
| 01/13 | AT | East Carolina (#177) | W | 75 | - | 64 | 111.1 | 94.8 | Q3 |
| 01/16 | Temple (#233) | W | 77 | - | 64 | 118.9 | 98.8 | Q4 | |
| 01/20 | Tulsa (#180) | W | 103 | - | 70 | 130.0 | 88.3 | Q4 | |
| 01/25 | AT | North Texas (#76) | L | 66 | - | 68 | 105.6 | 108.8 | Q2 |
| 01/28 | AT | Wichita St. (#158) | L | 72 | - | 77 | 106.1 | 113.4 | Q3 |
| 02/01 | Tulane (#111) | W | 80 | - | 76 | 109.5 | 104.0 | Q3 |