| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | AT | Southern Miss (#230) | L | 67.4 | - | 75.4 | 20.7% | Q3 |
| 02/10 | Central Michigan (#249) | W | 67.5 | - | 65.6 | 58.4% | Q4 | |
| 02/15 | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | L | 66.6 | - | 73.8 | 22.8% | Q3 | |
| 02/17 | Georgia St. (#219) | W | 71.5 | - | 71.3 | 50.9% | Q4 | |
| 02/22 | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 60.7 | - | 70.2 | 16.2% | Q3 | |
| 02/24 | Coastal Carolina (#318) | W | 76.7 | - | 70.8 | 72.4% | Q4 | |
| 02/28 | AT | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 62.6 | - | 79.9 | 5.0% | Q2 |
| 03/01 | AT | Georgia Southern (#293) | L | 75.9 | - | 79.4 | 35.8% | Q4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 |
Va. Wesleyan
|
W | 71 | - | 57 | 97.6 | 78.4 | - | |
| 11/11 | AT | Ball St. (#240) | L | 68 | - | 73 | 97.5 | 104.7 | Q4 |
| 11/13 | AT | Arkansas (#143) | L | 77 | - | 86 | 109.9 | 122.7 | Q2 |
| 11/22 | Princeton (#64) | L | 56 | - | 76 | 90.4 | 122.7 | Q2 | |
| 11/26 | Drexel (#101) | W | 68 | - | 61 | 94.9 | 85.2 | Q3 | |
| 11/29 | Radford (#229) | W | 69 | - | 68 | 105.2 | 103.7 | Q4 | |
| 12/02 | AT | Northeastern (#238) | L | 68 | - | 81 | 94.8 | 112.9 | Q4 |
| 12/06 | AT | William & Mary (#321) | L | 79 | - | 84 | 120.6 | 128.2 | Q4 |
| 12/09 | James Madison (#69) | L | 69 | - | 84 | 96.7 | 117.7 | Q2 | |
| 12/21 | VS | TCU (#29) | L | 87 | - | 111 | 104.9 | 133.9 | Q1 |
| 12/22 | VS | Temple (#233) | W | 78 | - | 63 | 115.7 | 93.4 | Q4 |
| 12/24 | VS | Massachusetts (#84) | L | 65 | - | 87 | 86.8 | 116.2 | Q2 |
| 12/30 | South Alabama (#282) | L | 59 | - | 61 | 81.3 | 84.1 | Q4 | |
| 01/04 | AT | Troy (#133) | L | 73 | - | 86 | 92.5 | 108.9 | Q3 |
| 01/06 | AT | Arkansas St. (#172) | L | 75 | - | 90 | 104.5 | 125.4 | Q3 |
| 01/11 | AT | Georgia St. (#219) | L | 70 | - | 77 | 100.2 | 110.3 | Q3 |
| 01/13 | AT | Coastal Carolina (#318) | L | 75 | - | 79 | 98.7 | 103.9 | Q4 |
| 01/18 | Marshall (#220) | W | 91 | - | 66 | 120.5 | 87.4 | Q4 | |
| 01/20 | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | L | 73 | - | 80 | 105.6 | 115.8 | Q4 | |
| 01/24 | James Madison (#69) | L | 62 | - | 78 | 83.2 | 104.7 | Q2 | |
| 01/27 | Georgia Southern (#293) | L | 70 | - | 76 | 92.5 | 100.5 | Q4 | |
| 02/01 | AT | Marshall (#220) | W | 83 | - | 76 | 111.0 | 101.7 | Q3 |
| 02/03 | AT | James Madison (#69) | L | 63 | - | 78 | 88.6 | 109.6 | Q1 |