| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | AT | Ball St. (#240) | L | 73.2 | - | 73.9 | 47.0% | Q4 |
| 02/10 | AT | Arkansas St. (#172) | L | 78.8 | - | 84.6 | 26.3% | Q3 |
| 02/17 | AT | Toledo (#119) | L | 73.7 | - | 81.1 | 21.6% | Q2 |
| 02/20 | Kent St. (#174) | W | 75.6 | - | 71.3 | 68.4% | Q4 | |
| 02/24 | AT | Northern Illinois (#287) | W | 79.2 | - | 74.4 | 69.6% | Q4 |
| 02/27 | Akron (#91) | L | 70.1 | - | 73.6 | 34.5% | Q3 | |
| 03/02 | Bowling Green (#212) | W | 78.6 | - | 72.4 | 74.2% | Q4 | |
| 03/05 | AT | Buffalo (#342) | W | 80.7 | - | 65.8 | 93.3% | Q4 |
| 03/08 | AT | Miami OH (#226) | L | 72.4 | - | 73.9 | 43.2% | Q3 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Troy (#133) | W | 88 | - | 70 | 116.5 | 92.7 | Q3 | |
| 11/11 | AT | Cleveland St. (#207) | L | 78 | - | 82 | 119.0 | 125.1 | Q3 |
| 11/18 | Detroit (#358) | W | 71 | - | 52 | 104.1 | 76.2 | Q4 | |
| 11/24 | VS | George Washington (#160) | L | 94 | - | 99 | 97.1 | 102.2 | Q3 |
| 11/25 | VS | Middle Tennessee (#303) | W | 80 | - | 68 | 124.8 | 106.0 | Q4 |
| 11/26 | VS | Brown (#250) | W | 82 | - | 77 | 117.0 | 109.9 | Q4 |
| 12/02 | Delaware (#139) | W | 74 | - | 73 | 109.6 | 108.1 | Q3 | |
| 12/06 | Youngstown St. (#113) | L | 72 | - | 78 | 102.4 | 111.0 | Q3 | |
| 12/09 | Marshall (#220) | L | 69 | - | 74 | 90.5 | 97.1 | Q4 | |
| 12/18 |
Defiance
|
W | 108 | - | 28 | 152.5 | 39.5 | - | |
| 12/22 | AT | Austin Peay (#245) | L | 67 | - | 71 | 109.5 | 116.0 | Q3 |
| 12/30 | VS | Davidson (#131) | L | 69 | - | 72 | 91.4 | 95.4 | Q3 |
| 01/02 | Toledo (#119) | L | 77 | - | 86 | 114.3 | 127.7 | Q3 | |
| 01/06 | Northern Illinois (#287) | W | 78 | - | 66 | 126.5 | 107.0 | Q4 | |
| 01/09 | AT | Bowling Green (#212) | L | 78 | - | 83 | 114.9 | 122.3 | Q3 |
| 01/13 | AT | Western Michigan (#285) | L | 79 | - | 81 | 113.2 | 116.1 | Q4 |
| 01/16 | Central Michigan (#249) | W | 73 | - | 61 | 109.8 | 91.8 | Q4 | |
| 01/20 | Eastern Michigan (#338) | W | 85 | - | 67 | 126.7 | 99.9 | Q4 | |
| 01/23 | AT | Akron (#91) | L | 58 | - | 67 | 88.6 | 102.3 | Q2 |
| 01/26 | AT | Kent St. (#174) | W | 71 | - | 64 | 103.1 | 92.9 | Q3 |
| 01/30 | Buffalo (#342) | W | 91 | - | 70 | 122.4 | 94.1 | Q4 | |
| 02/03 | Miami OH (#226) | W | 78 | - | 69 | 127.7 | 112.9 | Q4 |