| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | AT | South Carolina (#47) | L | 65.9 | - | 72.8 | 21.3% | Q1 |
| 02/13 | AT | Kentucky (#35) | L | 79.7 | - | 90.2 | 14.9% | Q1 |
| 02/17 | Missouri (#123) | W | 75.5 | - | 68.6 | 77.5% | Q3 | |
| 02/21 | AT | Mississippi St. (#49) | L | 67.4 | - | 74.9 | 20.7% | Q1 |
| 02/24 | South Carolina (#47) | L | 65.7 | - | 66.3 | 46.9% | Q2 | |
| 02/28 | Alabama (#5) | L | 80.8 | - | 85.6 | 30.7% | Q1 | |
| 03/02 | AT | Missouri (#123) | W | 73.8 | - | 72.5 | 56.0% | Q3 |
| 03/05 | AT | Georgia (#79) | L | 72.7 | - | 75.5 | 37.6% | Q2 |
| 03/09 | Texas A&M (#48) | L | 69.5 | - | 70.6 | 44.9% | Q2 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Alabama St. (#295) | W | 69 | - | 59 | 98.0 | 83.8 | Q4 | |
| 11/10 | Eastern Washington (#108) | W | 75 | - | 64 | 104.7 | 89.4 | Q3 | |
| 11/14 | Detroit (#358) | W | 70 | - | 69 | 112.5 | 110.9 | Q4 | |
| 11/17 | Sam Houston St. (#191) | W | 70 | - | 67 | 106.2 | 101.7 | Q4 | |
| 11/22 | AT | Temple (#233) | W | 77 | - | 76 | 122.8 | 121.2 | Q4 |
| 11/28 | North Carolina St. (#81) | W | 72 | - | 52 | 108.9 | 78.7 | Q3 | |
| 12/02 | Memphis (#83) | W | 80 | - | 77 | 105.8 | 101.8 | Q3 | |
| 12/05 | Mount St. Mary's (#252) | W | 77 | - | 68 | 108.7 | 96.0 | Q4 | |
| 12/10 | AT | UCF (#65) | W | 70 | - | 68 | 101.2 | 98.3 | Q1 |
| 12/16 | VS | California (#100) | W | 88 | - | 78 | 125.4 | 111.2 | Q3 |
| 12/19 | Troy (#133) | W | 74 | - | 53 | 106.6 | 76.4 | Q3 | |
| 12/23 | VS | Southern Miss (#230) | W | 89 | - | 72 | 131.7 | 106.6 | Q4 |
| 12/31 | Bryant (#192) | W | 95 | - | 78 | 120.0 | 98.5 | Q3 | |
| 01/06 | AT | Tennessee (#8) | L | 64 | - | 90 | 92.6 | 130.2 | Q1 |
| 01/10 | Florida (#42) | W | 103 | - | 85 | 139.3 | 115.0 | Q2 | |
| 01/13 | Vanderbilt (#185) | W | 69 | - | 56 | 109.9 | 89.2 | Q4 | |
| 01/17 | AT | LSU (#73) | L | 80 | - | 89 | 102.2 | 113.7 | Q2 |
| 01/20 | AT | Auburn (#6) | L | 59 | - | 82 | 88.9 | 123.5 | Q1 |
| 01/24 | Arkansas (#143) | W | 77 | - | 51 | 120.0 | 79.5 | Q3 | |
| 01/27 | AT | Texas A&M (#48) | W | 71 | - | 68 | 108.7 | 104.2 | Q1 |
| 01/30 | Mississippi St. (#49) | W | 86 | - | 82 | 128.7 | 122.7 | Q2 | |
| 02/03 | Auburn (#6) | L | 77 | - | 91 | 112.2 | 132.6 | Q1 |