| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | AT | Liberty (#124) | L | 53.1 | - | 70.9 | 3.0% | Q2 |
| 02/10 | AT | FIU (#290) | L | 63.6 | - | 69.6 | 26.1% | Q4 |
| 02/15 | New Mexico St. (#254) | W | 63.9 | - | 57.5 | 76.8% | Q4 | |
| 02/17 | UTEP (#204) | W | 60.3 | - | 56.3 | 67.5% | Q4 | |
| 02/21 | AT | Jacksonville St. (#178) | L | 52.9 | - | 64.0 | 10.1% | Q3 |
| 02/24 | Western Kentucky (#169) | L | 66.8 | - | 68.5 | 42.8% | Q3 | |
| 03/02 | AT | Sam Houston St. (#191) | L | 57.7 | - | 70.9 | 8.5% | Q3 |
| 03/05 | Liberty (#124) | L | 59.6 | - | 62.8 | 35.2% | Q3 | |
| 03/09 | AT | Louisiana Tech (#60) | L | 49.0 | - | 72.6 | 1.2% | Q1 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Northern Kentucky (#184) | W | 74 | - | 57 | 110.3 | 85.0 | Q4 | |
| 11/09 | Stephen F. Austin (#148) | W | 67 | - | 62 | 90.3 | 83.5 | Q3 | |
| 11/13 | Western Carolina (#144) | L | 64 | - | 66 | 99.0 | 102.1 | Q3 | |
| 11/18 |
Milligan
|
W | 88 | - | 62 | 119.3 | 84.0 | - | |
| 11/21 | UAB (#125) | L | 57 | - | 58 | 94.9 | 96.5 | Q3 | |
| 11/24 | VS | Illinois Chicago (#209) | L | 40 | - | 70 | 63.9 | 111.9 | Q3 |
| 11/25 | VS | Ohio (#166) | L | 68 | - | 80 | 106.0 | 124.8 | Q3 |
| 11/26 | VS | UMKC (#259) | W | 63 | - | 59 | 101.9 | 95.4 | Q4 |
| 12/02 | Wofford (#217) | L | 64 | - | 74 | 87.6 | 101.2 | Q4 | |
| 12/05 | Missouri St. (#136) | W | 77 | - | 73 | 104.7 | 99.3 | Q3 | |
| 12/09 | Belmont (#154) | L | 65 | - | 75 | 99.6 | 114.9 | Q4 | |
| 12/19 | AT | Saint Mary's (#20) | L | 34 | - | 71 | 56.1 | 117.1 | Q1 |
| 12/22 | AT | Southern Utah (#201) | L | 63 | - | 69 | 96.5 | 105.7 | Q3 |
| 12/30 | AT | Murray St. (#121) | L | 54 | - | 75 | 78.2 | 108.6 | Q3 |
| 01/03 |
Reinhardt
|
W | 84 | - | 47 | 122.8 | 68.7 | - | |
| 01/11 | Louisiana Tech (#60) | L | 52 | - | 60 | 82.6 | 95.3 | Q2 | |
| 01/13 | Sam Houston St. (#191) | L | 51 | - | 60 | 82.8 | 97.4 | Q4 | |
| 01/18 | AT | UTEP (#204) | L | 59 | - | 73 | 84.7 | 104.8 | Q3 |
| 01/20 | AT | New Mexico St. (#254) | L | 62 | - | 73 | 88.6 | 104.4 | Q4 |
| 01/24 | Jacksonville St. (#178) | W | 75 | - | 67 | 109.8 | 98.1 | Q4 | |
| 01/27 | FIU (#290) | W | 79 | - | 61 | 118.6 | 91.6 | Q4 | |
| 02/03 | AT | Western Kentucky (#169) | L | 65 | - | 88 | 88.3 | 119.6 | Q3 |