| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | AT | Temple (#233) | W | 86.6 | - | 74.2 | 87.9% | Q4 |
| 02/11 | Tulane (#111) | W | 85.1 | - | 80.7 | 66.3% | Q3 | |
| 02/15 | AT | North Texas (#76) | L | 69.9 | - | 71.1 | 44.4% | Q2 |
| 02/18 | AT | SMU (#46) | L | 75.2 | - | 81.3 | 26.5% | Q1 |
| 02/21 | Charlotte (#105) | W | 72.1 | - | 67.7 | 68.6% | Q3 | |
| 02/25 | Florida Atlantic (#32) | L | 78.7 | - | 80.0 | 44.8% | Q1 | |
| 02/29 | AT | East Carolina (#177) | W | 79.3 | - | 70.7 | 81.5% | Q3 |
| 03/03 | UAB (#125) | W | 82.6 | - | 76.5 | 72.9% | Q3 | |
| 03/09 | AT | Florida Atlantic (#32) | L | 78.7 | - | 85.6 | 24.4% | Q1 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Jackson St. (#284) | W | 94 | - | 77 | 114.2 | 93.5 | Q4 | |
| 11/10 | AT | Missouri (#123) | W | 70 | - | 55 | 99.5 | 78.2 | Q3 |
| 11/17 | Alabama St. (#295) | W | 92 | - | 75 | 121.8 | 99.3 | Q4 | |
| 11/22 | VS | Michigan (#106) | W | 71 | - | 67 | 103.1 | 97.3 | Q3 |
| 11/23 | VS | Arkansas (#143) | W | 84 | - | 79 | 116.6 | 109.7 | Q3 |
| 11/24 | VS | Villanova (#41) | L | 63 | - | 79 | 90.3 | 113.3 | Q2 |
| 12/02 | AT | Mississippi (#77) | L | 77 | - | 80 | 101.8 | 105.8 | Q1 |
| 12/06 | AT | VCU (#86) | W | 85 | - | 80 | 113.5 | 106.8 | Q2 |
| 12/10 | AT | Texas A&M (#48) | W | 81 | - | 75 | 113.9 | 105.5 | Q1 |
| 12/16 | Clemson (#37) | W | 79 | - | 77 | 106.7 | 104.0 | Q2 | |
| 12/19 | Virginia (#62) | W | 77 | - | 54 | 111.7 | 78.4 | Q2 | |
| 12/23 | Vanderbilt (#185) | W | 77 | - | 75 | 105.4 | 102.7 | Q4 | |
| 12/30 | Austin Peay (#245) | W | 81 | - | 70 | 110.6 | 95.6 | Q4 | |
| 01/04 | AT | Tulsa (#180) | W | 78 | - | 75 | 104.6 | 100.6 | Q3 |
| 01/07 | SMU (#46) | W | 62 | - | 59 | 87.3 | 83.1 | Q2 | |
| 01/10 | UTSA (#278) | W | 107 | - | 101 | 127.1 | 120.0 | Q4 | |
| 01/14 | AT | Wichita St. (#158) | W | 112 | - | 86 | 155.0 | 119.0 | Q3 |
| 01/18 | South Florida (#107) | L | 73 | - | 74 | 110.1 | 111.6 | Q3 | |
| 01/21 | AT | Tulane (#111) | L | 79 | - | 81 | 111.1 | 113.9 | Q2 |
| 01/28 | AT | UAB (#125) | L | 88 | - | 97 | 107.3 | 118.2 | Q2 |
| 01/31 | Rice (#203) | L | 71 | - | 74 | 101.9 | 106.2 | Q4 | |
| 02/03 | Wichita St. (#158) | W | 65 | - | 63 | 101.4 | 98.3 | Q3 |