| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | AT | Troy (#133) | L | 72.6 | - | 84.6 | 13.0% | Q3 |
| 02/15 | AT | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 64.0 | - | 79.6 | 6.9% | Q2 |
| 02/17 | AT | Coastal Carolina (#318) | W | 78.9 | - | 73.9 | 69.4% | Q4 |
| 02/21 | James Madison (#69) | L | 76.2 | - | 83.8 | 23.6% | Q2 | |
| 02/24 | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 67.9 | - | 73.2 | 29.0% | Q3 | |
| 02/28 | AT | Georgia Southern (#293) | L | 77.6 | - | 78.9 | 44.8% | Q4 |
| 03/01 | AT | Georgia St. (#219) | L | 76.0 | - | 80.7 | 31.8% | Q3 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Queens (#274) | W | 89 | - | 73 | 111.2 | 91.2 | Q4 | |
| 11/10 | VS | Radford (#229) | L | 62 | - | 66 | 90.5 | 96.4 | Q4 |
| 11/19 | VS | Utah St. (#26) | L | 60 | - | 83 | 82.6 | 114.3 | Q1 |
| 11/20 | VS | FIU (#290) | W | 80 | - | 69 | 107.3 | 92.5 | Q4 |
| 11/21 | VS | Oakland (#137) | L | 71 | - | 78 | 93.9 | 103.1 | Q3 |
| 11/24 | AT | Kentucky (#35) | L | 82 | - | 118 | 103.1 | 148.4 | Q1 |
| 12/02 | Miami OH (#226) | L | 74 | - | 79 | 97.5 | 104.1 | Q4 | |
| 12/06 | Duquesne (#103) | L | 72 | - | 85 | 91.2 | 107.7 | Q3 | |
| 12/09 | AT | Ohio (#166) | W | 74 | - | 69 | 97.1 | 90.5 | Q3 |
| 12/13 | AT | Toledo (#119) | L | 87 | - | 88 | 115.3 | 116.7 | Q2 |
| 12/16 | UNC Greensboro (#140) | W | 72 | - | 65 | 108.0 | 97.5 | Q3 | |
| 12/18 |
Bluefield Univ.
|
W | 103 | - | 70 | 126.7 | 86.1 | - | |
| 12/21 | UNC Wilmington (#112) | L | 69 | - | 78 | 98.5 | 111.3 | Q3 | |
| 12/30 | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | W | 75 | - | 61 | 110.4 | 89.8 | Q3 | |
| 01/03 | AT | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 68 | - | 57 | 92.9 | 77.9 | Q4 |
| 01/06 | AT | Texas St. (#255) | W | 79 | - | 75 | 113.4 | 107.6 | Q4 |
| 01/10 | Georgia Southern (#293) | W | 79 | - | 74 | 117.1 | 109.7 | Q4 | |
| 01/13 | South Alabama (#282) | L | 85 | - | 91 | 107.2 | 114.8 | Q4 | |
| 01/18 | AT | Old Dominion (#272) | L | 66 | - | 91 | 87.4 | 120.5 | Q4 |
| 01/20 | AT | James Madison (#69) | L | 52 | - | 67 | 76.0 | 97.9 | Q1 |
| 01/24 | Georgia St. (#219) | W | 77 | - | 68 | 106.6 | 94.1 | Q4 | |
| 01/27 | Southern Miss (#230) | W | 83 | - | 67 | 129.0 | 104.1 | Q4 | |
| 02/01 | Old Dominion (#272) | L | 76 | - | 83 | 101.7 | 111.0 | Q4 | |
| 02/03 | Coastal Carolina (#318) | W | 91 | - | 74 | 125.1 | 101.7 | Q4 |