| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/27 | Arkansas St. (#172) | L | 71.1 | - | 77.3 | 25.6% | Q4 | |
| 02/07 | Coastal Carolina (#318) | W | 75.0 | - | 73.3 | 57.1% | Q4 | |
| 02/10 | Eastern Michigan (#338) | W | 72.7 | - | 65.2 | 79.7% | Q4 | |
| 02/15 | AT | Southern Miss (#230) | L | 65.6 | - | 73.0 | 21.2% | Q3 |
| 02/17 | AT | Troy (#133) | L | 69.2 | - | 82.4 | 9.7% | Q3 |
| 02/22 | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | L | 65.2 | - | 76.1 | 13.4% | Q3 | |
| 02/24 | Troy (#133) | L | 64.4 | - | 73.6 | 17.2% | Q3 | |
| 02/27 | AT | Texas St. (#255) | L | 67.1 | - | 68.0 | 46.0% | Q4 |
| 03/01 | AT | South Alabama (#282) | L | 75.7 | - | 78.7 | 37.4% | Q4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | AT | Houston (#1) | L | 31 | - | 84 | 48.9 | 132.4 | Q1 |
| 11/11 | AT | Central Michigan (#249) | W | 74 | - | 64 | 110.5 | 95.6 | Q4 |
| 11/16 | Louisiana Tech (#60) | L | 63 | - | 73 | 94.5 | 109.5 | Q2 | |
| 11/20 |
Ecclesia
|
W | 103 | - | 74 | 130.3 | 93.6 | - | |
| 11/26 | AT | SMU (#46) | L | 57 | - | 70 | 93.0 | 114.2 | Q1 |
| 11/28 | Northwestern St. (#327) | W | 74 | - | 70 | 104.8 | 99.1 | Q4 | |
| 12/05 |
Champion Chris.
|
W | 110 | - | 63 | 132.8 | 76.1 | - | |
| 12/12 | AT | Sam Houston St. (#191) | L | 62 | - | 63 | 93.0 | 94.5 | Q3 |
| 12/14 | AT | Lamar (#224) | L | 73 | - | 97 | 102.3 | 135.9 | Q3 |
| 12/18 | AT | Jacksonville (#283) | L | 65 | - | 75 | 87.5 | 101.0 | Q4 |
| 12/30 | AT | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 55 | - | 67 | 84.8 | 103.3 | Q2 |
| 01/03 | Marshall (#220) | L | 57 | - | 68 | 77.9 | 92.9 | Q4 | |
| 01/06 | Georgia Southern (#293) | L | 68 | - | 76 | 104.3 | 116.6 | Q4 | |
| 01/11 | Southern Miss (#230) | L | 58 | - | 71 | 81.2 | 99.4 | Q4 | |
| 01/13 | Texas St. (#255) | L | 54 | - | 67 | 89.3 | 110.8 | Q4 | |
| 01/18 | AT | James Madison (#69) | L | 70 | - | 89 | 105.3 | 133.8 | Q1 |
| 01/20 | AT | Old Dominion (#272) | W | 80 | - | 73 | 115.8 | 105.6 | Q4 |
| 01/25 | South Alabama (#282) | W | 80 | - | 66 | 107.9 | 89.0 | Q4 |