| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Georgia St. (#219) | W | 77.6 | - | 66.3 | 86.9% | Q4 | |
| 02/11 | Bowling Green (#212) | W | 75.9 | - | 66.8 | 82.4% | Q4 | |
| 02/15 | AT | Old Dominion (#272) | W | 73.8 | - | 66.6 | 77.2% | Q4 |
| 02/17 | AT | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 66.2 | - | 73.6 | 21.6% | Q2 |
| 02/22 | AT | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 76.1 | - | 65.2 | 86.6% | Q4 |
| 02/24 | AT | Southern Miss (#230) | W | 71.0 | - | 69.1 | 58.0% | Q3 |
| 02/28 | Troy (#133) | W | 71.9 | - | 66.0 | 73.1% | Q3 | |
| 03/01 | Southern Miss (#230) | W | 73.2 | - | 61.1 | 89.1% | Q4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Youngstown St. (#113) | W | 72 | - | 62 | 98.0 | 84.4 | Q3 | |
| 11/11 | AT | Toledo (#119) | L | 78 | - | 87 | 112.1 | 125.0 | Q2 |
| 11/15 |
La. Christian
|
W | 107 | - | 56 | 142.3 | 74.5 | - | |
| 11/20 | VS | Wright St. (#157) | L | 85 | - | 91 | 116.1 | 124.3 | Q3 |
| 11/21 | VS | Buffalo (#342) | W | 68 | - | 60 | 109.9 | 97.0 | Q4 |
| 11/22 | VS | Long Beach St. (#163) | W | 92 | - | 82 | 135.4 | 120.7 | Q3 |
| 11/27 |
Loyola LA
|
W | 78 | - | 54 | 119.6 | 82.8 | - | |
| 11/30 | AT | Samford (#95) | L | 65 | - | 88 | 88.3 | 119.5 | Q1 |
| 12/09 | AT | Louisiana Tech (#60) | L | 67 | - | 72 | 95.9 | 103.0 | Q1 |
| 12/13 | Eastern Kentucky (#189) | W | 73 | - | 62 | 103.5 | 87.9 | Q4 | |
| 12/17 | AT | McNeese St. (#85) | L | 72 | - | 74 | 110.1 | 113.1 | Q1 |
| 12/22 | AT | Rice (#203) | W | 84 | - | 67 | 131.0 | 104.5 | Q3 |
| 12/30 | AT | Marshall (#220) | L | 61 | - | 75 | 89.8 | 110.4 | Q3 |
| 01/04 | James Madison (#69) | L | 61 | - | 68 | 83.0 | 92.5 | Q2 | |
| 01/06 | Coastal Carolina (#318) | W | 85 | - | 77 | 111.6 | 101.1 | Q4 | |
| 01/10 | AT | Troy (#133) | L | 73 | - | 79 | 98.7 | 106.8 | Q3 |
| 01/13 | AT | Arkansas St. (#172) | W | 84 | - | 77 | 122.7 | 112.5 | Q3 |
| 01/17 | AT | Texas St. (#255) | W | 86 | - | 68 | 113.7 | 89.9 | Q4 |
| 01/20 | AT | South Alabama (#282) | W | 88 | - | 79 | 123.5 | 110.9 | Q4 |
| 01/26 | Arkansas St. (#172) | W | 81 | - | 75 | 112.2 | 103.9 | Q4 | |
| 01/28 | Texas St. (#255) | W | 66 | - | 46 | 96.7 | 67.4 | Q4 | |
| 01/31 | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 80 | - | 72 | 118.3 | 106.4 | Q4 | |
| 02/03 | South Alabama (#282) | W | 80 | - | 60 | 114.7 | 86.1 | Q4 |