| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Tennessee Martin (#246) | L | 86.0 | - | 86.8 | 47.1% | Q4 | |
| 02/08 | AT | Western Illinois (#257) | L | 69.2 | - | 72.2 | 36.9% | Q3 |
| 02/15 | Morehead St. (#110) | L | 70.5 | - | 76.0 | 27.5% | Q3 | |
| 02/17 | Southern Indiana (#332) | W | 81.9 | - | 73.0 | 80.6% | Q4 | |
| 02/22 | AT | Southeast Missouri St. (#357) | W | 78.2 | - | 69.1 | 81.6% | Q4 |
| 02/24 | AT | Lindenwood (#350) | W | 79.7 | - | 71.9 | 79.4% | Q4 |
| 02/29 | Tennessee St. (#263) | W | 77.6 | - | 73.5 | 66.2% | Q4 | |
| 03/02 | Tennessee Tech (#337) | W | 80.8 | - | 68.2 | 89.4% | Q4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Texas St. (#255) | W | 71 | - | 66 | 95.8 | 89.1 | Q4 | |
| 11/10 | AT | Illinois Chicago (#209) | L | 71 | - | 86 | 97.8 | 118.4 | Q3 |
| 11/18 | VS | Northern Illinois (#287) | L | 93 | - | 98 | 116.0 | 122.3 | Q4 |
| 11/19 | AT | Georgia St. (#219) | L | 77 | - | 88 | 112.4 | 128.5 | Q3 |
| 11/22 | Georgia St. (#219) | L | 90 | - | 93 | 104.2 | 107.7 | Q4 | |
| 11/25 | Tulsa (#180) | W | 84 | - | 82 | 105.4 | 102.9 | Q4 | |
| 11/28 | Ball St. (#240) | W | 90 | - | 64 | 138.5 | 98.5 | Q4 | |
| 12/01 | Arkansas St. (#172) | W | 77 | - | 66 | 105.3 | 90.2 | Q4 | |
| 12/07 | AT | Central Arkansas (#345) | L | 71 | - | 75 | 106.5 | 112.5 | Q4 |
| 12/10 | Winthrop (#171) | L | 68 | - | 85 | 100.3 | 125.3 | Q4 | |
| 12/13 | UTSA (#278) | W | 93 | - | 84 | 124.4 | 112.3 | Q4 | |
| 12/18 | Murray St. (#121) | W | 80 | - | 66 | 110.7 | 91.3 | Q3 | |
| 12/21 | Jacksonville St. (#178) | L | 60 | - | 90 | 80.9 | 121.4 | Q4 | |
| 12/28 | AT | Tennessee Tech (#337) | W | 81 | - | 75 | 109.9 | 101.8 | Q4 |
| 12/30 | AT | Tennessee St. (#263) | L | 82 | - | 90 | 110.8 | 121.6 | Q4 |
| 01/04 | SIU Edwardsville (#262) | W | 88 | - | 80 | 120.4 | 109.5 | Q4 | |
| 01/06 | Eastern Illinois (#324) | L | 88 | - | 90 | 122.1 | 124.9 | Q4 | |
| 01/13 | AT | Tennessee Martin (#246) | L | 72 | - | 77 | 104.0 | 111.3 | Q3 |
| 01/18 | AT | Southern Indiana (#332) | W | 77 | - | 75 | 101.4 | 98.8 | Q4 |
| 01/25 | Lindenwood (#350) | W | 80 | - | 66 | 120.1 | 99.1 | Q4 | |
| 01/27 | Southeast Missouri St. (#357) | W | 66 | - | 61 | 95.4 | 88.2 | Q4 | |
| 02/01 | AT | SIU Edwardsville (#262) | L | 66 | - | 68 | 99.3 | 102.3 | Q4 |
| 02/03 | AT | Eastern Illinois (#324) | W | 71 | - | 47 | 114.1 | 75.5 | Q4 |