| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Western Michigan (#285) | W | 81.4 | - | 73.2 | 79.6% | Q4 | |
| 02/10 | AT | Troy (#133) | L | 71.8 | - | 78.9 | 22.8% | Q3 |
| 02/17 | Northern Illinois (#287) | W | 82.4 | - | 75.6 | 75.6% | Q4 | |
| 02/20 | AT | Ohio (#166) | L | 71.3 | - | 75.6 | 31.6% | Q3 |
| 02/24 | AT | Akron (#91) | L | 62.7 | - | 73.3 | 12.6% | Q2 |
| 02/27 | Buffalo (#342) | W | 79.3 | - | 71.0 | 79.9% | Q4 | |
| 03/02 | Central Michigan (#249) | W | 74.9 | - | 69.0 | 73.4% | Q4 | |
| 03/05 | AT | Ball St. (#240) | W | 72.0 | - | 71.4 | 52.9% | Q4 |
| 03/08 | AT | Toledo (#119) | L | 72.5 | - | 78.5 | 25.7% | Q2 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 |
Malone
|
W | 79 | - | 58 | 118.6 | 87.1 | - | |
| 11/09 | James Madison (#69) | L | 108 | - | 113 | 108.6 | 113.6 | Q2 | |
| 11/11 | Fresno St. (#215) | W | 79 | - | 69 | 115.5 | 100.9 | Q4 | |
| 11/17 | VS | Hampton (#347) | W | 100 | - | 62 | 143.4 | 88.9 | Q4 |
| 11/19 | VS | Missouri St. (#136) | L | 52 | - | 56 | 75.6 | 81.4 | Q3 |
| 11/20 | VS | Fordham (#176) | W | 79 | - | 72 | 101.8 | 92.8 | Q3 |
| 11/26 | College of Charleston (#134) | L | 78 | - | 84 | 110.2 | 118.6 | Q3 | |
| 11/30 |
Shawnee St.
|
W | 103 | - | 61 | 137.4 | 81.4 | - | |
| 12/05 | AT | South Dakota St. (#156) | W | 82 | - | 73 | 112.0 | 99.7 | Q3 |
| 12/09 | Cleveland St. (#207) | W | 83 | - | 77 | 118.3 | 109.7 | Q4 | |
| 12/21 | AT | Oregon (#57) | L | 70 | - | 84 | 99.0 | 118.8 | Q1 |
| 12/29 | AT | Saint Mary's (#20) | L | 46 | - | 66 | 70.8 | 101.5 | Q1 |
| 01/02 | Ball St. (#240) | W | 82 | - | 69 | 121.5 | 102.2 | Q4 | |
| 01/06 | AT | Eastern Michigan (#338) | L | 69 | - | 71 | 98.6 | 101.5 | Q4 |
| 01/09 | Toledo (#119) | L | 75 | - | 89 | 104.2 | 123.7 | Q3 | |
| 01/13 | AT | Central Michigan (#249) | L | 62 | - | 77 | 102.1 | 126.9 | Q4 |
| 01/16 | AT | Northern Illinois (#287) | W | 83 | - | 76 | 124.4 | 113.9 | Q4 |
| 01/19 | Akron (#91) | L | 71 | - | 77 | 110.2 | 119.5 | Q3 | |
| 01/23 | AT | Bowling Green (#212) | W | 90 | - | 84 | 122.0 | 113.9 | Q3 |
| 01/26 | Ohio (#166) | L | 64 | - | 71 | 92.9 | 103.1 | Q4 | |
| 01/30 | Miami OH (#226) | L | 67 | - | 71 | 95.5 | 101.2 | Q4 | |
| 02/02 | AT | Buffalo (#342) | W | 83 | - | 52 | 125.8 | 78.8 | Q4 |