| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Sam Houston St. (#191) | W | 64.6 | - | 62.6 | 59.3% | Q4 | |
| 02/10 | Western Kentucky (#169) | L | 69.9 | - | 70.5 | 47.6% | Q3 | |
| 02/15 | AT | Louisiana Tech (#60) | L | 57.2 | - | 67.8 | 12.2% | Q1 |
| 02/21 | Middle Tennessee (#303) | W | 64.0 | - | 52.9 | 89.9% | Q4 | |
| 02/24 | AT | FIU (#290) | W | 72.5 | - | 64.3 | 80.3% | Q4 |
| 02/29 | UTEP (#204) | W | 63.1 | - | 58.1 | 72.0% | Q4 | |
| 03/02 | New Mexico St. (#254) | W | 66.2 | - | 59.1 | 79.9% | Q4 | |
| 03/09 | AT | Sam Houston St. (#191) | W | 66.3 | - | 65.8 | 51.9% | Q3 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 |
Brescia
|
W | 91 | - | 41 | 121.4 | 54.7 | - | |
| 11/11 | Utah Tech (#289) | L | 79 | - | 81 | 105.1 | 107.8 | Q4 | |
| 11/14 | AT | West Virginia (#129) | L | 57 | - | 70 | 87.9 | 108.0 | Q3 |
| 11/18 | AT | North Alabama (#256) | L | 59 | - | 61 | 79.9 | 82.6 | Q4 |
| 11/22 | AT | Incarnate Word (#326) | L | 66 | - | 67 | 99.2 | 100.7 | Q4 |
| 11/24 | AT | UTSA (#278) | W | 77 | - | 62 | 116.8 | 94.1 | Q4 |
| 11/26 | VS | Incarnate Word (#326) | W | 67 | - | 65 | 105.2 | 102.0 | Q4 |
| 11/30 | South Alabama (#282) | W | 70 | - | 52 | 123.4 | 91.7 | Q4 | |
| 12/03 | East Tennessee St. (#221) | L | 59 | - | 61 | 96.6 | 99.9 | Q4 | |
| 12/08 | Illinois Chicago (#209) | L | 49 | - | 55 | 77.9 | 87.5 | Q4 | |
| 12/14 | AT | Wisconsin (#15) | L | 60 | - | 75 | 92.2 | 115.3 | Q1 |
| 12/18 | AT | Tarleton St. (#165) | W | 65 | - | 62 | 101.7 | 97.0 | Q3 |
| 12/21 | AT | Little Rock (#270) | W | 90 | - | 60 | 121.4 | 80.9 | Q4 |
| 12/28 |
Fort Valley St.
|
W | 93 | - | 57 | 127.2 | 78.0 | - | |
| 12/31 |
Trevecca Nazarene
|
W | 107 | - | 67 | 140.3 | 87.8 | - | |
| 01/06 | FIU (#290) | W | 70 | - | 63 | 104.8 | 94.3 | Q4 | |
| 01/10 | AT | Liberty (#124) | W | 61 | - | 51 | 99.7 | 83.4 | Q2 |
| 01/13 | AT | Western Kentucky (#169) | L | 69 | - | 80 | 96.6 | 112.0 | Q3 |
| 01/20 | Louisiana Tech (#60) | L | 57 | - | 74 | 91.6 | 118.9 | Q2 | |
| 01/24 | AT | Middle Tennessee (#303) | L | 67 | - | 75 | 98.1 | 109.8 | Q4 |
| 01/27 | Liberty (#124) | W | 73 | - | 62 | 121.6 | 103.2 | Q3 | |
| 02/01 | AT | UTEP (#204) | L | 71 | - | 79 | 94.5 | 105.1 | Q3 |
| 02/03 | AT | New Mexico St. (#254) | L | 65 | - | 67 | 107.7 | 111.0 | Q4 |