| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | AT | Southeastern Louisiana (#281) | L | 65.7 | - | 73.0 | 21.2% | Q4 |
| 02/10 | AT | Houston Christian (#340) | L | 77.6 | - | 78.7 | 45.6% | Q4 |
| 02/12 | Lamar (#224) | L | 76.9 | - | 78.8 | 42.3% | Q4 | |
| 02/17 | Northwestern St. (#327) | W | 76.1 | - | 72.8 | 63.9% | Q4 | |
| 02/19 | Texas A&M Commerce (#320) | W | 67.3 | - | 65.6 | 57.4% | Q4 | |
| 02/24 | AT | McNeese St. (#85) | L | 63.5 | - | 85.8 | 1.9% | Q1 |
| 02/26 | AT | Nicholls St. (#266) | L | 68.3 | - | 76.8 | 18.5% | Q4 |
| 03/02 | New Orleans (#343) | W | 81.8 | - | 75.4 | 74.3% | Q4 | |
| 03/04 | Southeastern Louisiana (#281) | L | 66.5 | - | 69.3 | 37.5% | Q4 | |
| 03/06 | AT | Texas A&M Corpus Christi (#190) | L | 63.2 | - | 76.9 | 9.1% | Q3 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | AT | Texas (#23) | L | 56 | - | 88 | 73.3 | 115.1 | Q1 |
| 11/11 | AT | Tulsa (#180) | L | 71 | - | 85 | 92.5 | 110.8 | Q3 |
| 11/14 |
Schreiner
|
W | 104 | - | 63 | 128.5 | 77.8 | - | |
| 11/18 | AT | Arkansas Pine Bluff (#333) | W | 100 | - | 81 | 135.1 | 109.4 | Q4 |
| 11/22 | Jacksonville St. (#178) | W | 67 | - | 66 | 100.7 | 99.2 | Q4 | |
| 11/25 | AT | UTSA (#278) | L | 80 | - | 90 | 98.8 | 111.1 | Q4 |
| 11/26 | VS | Jacksonville St. (#178) | L | 65 | - | 67 | 102.0 | 105.2 | Q3 |
| 12/01 | AT | Bethune Cookman (#319) | L | 82 | - | 96 | 96.9 | 113.4 | Q4 |
| 12/09 | Northern Arizona (#300) | L | 75 | - | 76 | 108.3 | 109.7 | Q4 | |
| 12/13 | AT | Rice (#203) | L | 57 | - | 80 | 84.9 | 119.2 | Q3 |
| 12/21 | AT | Illinois Chicago (#209) | W | 67 | - | 66 | 102.2 | 100.6 | Q3 |
| 12/30 | AT | UT Rio Grande Valley (#310) | L | 74 | - | 77 | 102.9 | 107.1 | Q4 |
| 01/02 |
Our Lady of the Lake
|
W | 83 | - | 74 | 102.4 | 91.3 | - | |
| 01/06 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi (#190) | L | 65 | - | 75 | 96.1 | 110.9 | Q4 | |
| 01/08 | AT | Lamar (#224) | L | 59 | - | 75 | 86.2 | 109.5 | Q3 |
| 01/13 | AT | Northwestern St. (#327) | L | 71 | - | 97 | 95.6 | 130.6 | Q4 |
| 01/20 | McNeese St. (#85) | L | 66 | - | 80 | 91.4 | 110.8 | Q2 | |
| 01/22 | Nicholls St. (#266) | L | 74 | - | 78 | 103.7 | 109.3 | Q4 | |
| 01/27 | Houston Christian (#340) | W | 79 | - | 75 | 110.4 | 104.8 | Q4 | |
| 01/31 | AT | Texas A&M Commerce (#320) | L | 66 | - | 71 | 99.6 | 107.1 | Q4 |
| 02/03 | AT | New Orleans (#343) | W | 82 | - | 80 | 108.5 | 105.9 | Q4 |