| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | AT | Illinois St. (#206) | L | 63.1 | - | 66.5 | 35.2% | Q3 |
| 02/11 | Northern Iowa (#132) | L | 67.7 | - | 73.1 | 27.6% | Q3 | |
| 02/14 | AT | Bradley (#59) | L | 59.7 | - | 80.0 | 2.9% | Q1 |
| 02/18 | Belmont (#154) | L | 76.7 | - | 78.1 | 44.2% | Q4 | |
| 02/21 | Evansville (#213) | W | 72.7 | - | 67.9 | 69.4% | Q4 | |
| 02/24 | AT | Indiana St. (#36) | L | 62.1 | - | 86.8 | 1.6% | Q1 |
| 02/28 | Drake (#50) | L | 65.2 | - | 75.6 | 13.9% | Q2 | |
| 03/03 | AT | Missouri St. (#136) | L | 65.9 | - | 73.3 | 22.8% | Q2 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | AT | Cincinnati (#24) | L | 58 | - | 69 | 80.3 | 95.5 | Q1 |
| 11/10 | Little Rock (#270) | W | 86 | - | 71 | 118.4 | 97.8 | Q4 | |
| 11/14 | AT | Loyola Chicago (#120) | W | 72 | - | 67 | 100.0 | 93.1 | Q2 |
| 11/19 |
Aurora
|
W | 99 | - | 48 | 135.9 | 65.9 | - | |
| 11/24 | VS | Middle Tennessee (#303) | W | 70 | - | 40 | 111.9 | 63.9 | Q4 |
| 11/25 | VS | George Washington (#160) | W | 89 | - | 79 | 115.7 | 102.7 | Q3 |
| 11/26 | VS | UNC Greensboro (#140) | L | 57 | - | 58 | 89.0 | 90.5 | Q3 |
| 11/30 | Illinois St. (#206) | L | 64 | - | 69 | 95.1 | 102.6 | Q4 | |
| 12/08 | AT | Jacksonville St. (#178) | W | 55 | - | 49 | 87.5 | 77.9 | Q3 |
| 12/12 | Green Bay (#183) | L | 68 | - | 70 | 103.0 | 106.0 | Q4 | |
| 12/16 | Western Michigan (#285) | W | 89 | - | 68 | 120.6 | 92.2 | Q4 | |
| 12/21 | Incarnate Word (#326) | L | 66 | - | 67 | 100.6 | 102.2 | Q4 | |
| 12/30 | AT | Southern Illinois (#117) | L | 50 | - | 62 | 79.1 | 98.1 | Q2 |
| 01/02 | AT | Murray St. (#121) | L | 73 | - | 85 | 110.1 | 128.2 | Q3 |
| 01/06 | Valparaiso (#258) | W | 70 | - | 64 | 102.4 | 93.7 | Q4 | |
| 01/10 | AT | Northern Iowa (#132) | L | 59 | - | 67 | 88.7 | 100.8 | Q2 |
| 01/13 | Bradley (#59) | L | 59 | - | 77 | 95.1 | 124.1 | Q2 | |
| 01/17 | Murray St. (#121) | L | 58 | - | 73 | 88.6 | 111.6 | Q3 | |
| 01/20 | AT | Valparaiso (#258) | L | 77 | - | 84 | 112.3 | 122.5 | Q4 |
| 01/24 | Indiana St. (#36) | L | 83 | - | 89 | 115.6 | 123.9 | Q1 | |
| 01/27 | AT | Belmont (#154) | L | 65 | - | 74 | 84.9 | 96.7 | Q3 |
| 01/31 | AT | Evansville (#213) | L | 60 | - | 77 | 85.1 | 109.3 | Q3 |
| 02/03 | Southern Illinois (#117) | L | 71 | - | 74 | 99.6 | 103.9 | Q3 |