| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | AT | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | L | 66.3 | - | 77.6 | 13.1% | Q2 |
| 02/10 | Miami OH (#226) | W | 76.9 | - | 73.0 | 66.4% | Q4 | |
| 02/15 | AT | James Madison (#69) | L | 67.3 | - | 84.3 | 5.7% | Q1 |
| 02/17 | AT | Old Dominion (#272) | L | 71.3 | - | 71.5 | 49.1% | Q4 |
| 02/21 | Coastal Carolina (#318) | W | 85.0 | - | 75.2 | 83.3% | Q4 | |
| 02/24 | Texas St. (#255) | W | 72.1 | - | 69.6 | 60.7% | Q4 | |
| 02/28 | James Madison (#69) | L | 77.1 | - | 85.0 | 22.2% | Q2 | |
| 03/01 | Marshall (#220) | W | 80.7 | - | 76.0 | 68.2% | Q4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | AT | Belmont (#154) | L | 87 | - | 89 | 112.9 | 115.5 | Q3 |
| 11/11 | AT | Western Michigan (#285) | W | 77 | - | 70 | 114.5 | 104.1 | Q4 |
| 11/17 | Northern Illinois (#287) | L | 64 | - | 70 | 88.9 | 97.3 | Q4 | |
| 11/19 | Little Rock (#270) | W | 88 | - | 77 | 128.5 | 112.4 | Q4 | |
| 11/22 | AT | Little Rock (#270) | W | 93 | - | 90 | 107.7 | 104.2 | Q4 |
| 11/25 | AT | Charlotte (#105) | L | 57 | - | 65 | 89.7 | 102.3 | Q2 |
| 12/02 | AT | Kennesaw St. (#260) | L | 77 | - | 88 | 106.0 | 121.1 | Q4 |
| 12/04 |
Middle Ga. St.
|
W | 89 | - | 57 | 120.4 | 77.1 | - | |
| 12/09 | AT | Mercer (#251) | L | 60 | - | 64 | 98.7 | 105.3 | Q4 |
| 12/16 | AT | BYU (#7) | L | 54 | - | 86 | 80.0 | 127.4 | Q1 |
| 12/19 |
Toccoa Falls
|
W | 122 | - | 45 | 149.5 | 55.1 | - | |
| 12/30 | Arkansas St. (#172) | W | 91 | - | 90 | 130.5 | 129.0 | Q4 | |
| 01/04 | AT | Southern Miss (#230) | L | 73 | - | 79 | 93.3 | 100.9 | Q3 |
| 01/06 | AT | South Alabama (#282) | W | 90 | - | 76 | 124.1 | 104.8 | Q4 |
| 01/11 | Old Dominion (#272) | W | 77 | - | 70 | 110.3 | 100.2 | Q4 | |
| 01/13 | Georgia Southern (#293) | W | 90 | - | 62 | 121.7 | 83.8 | Q4 | |
| 01/17 | AT | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 68 | - | 76 | 99.1 | 110.8 | Q2 |
| 01/20 | AT | Georgia Southern (#293) | L | 70 | - | 86 | 99.0 | 121.6 | Q4 |
| 01/24 | AT | Marshall (#220) | L | 68 | - | 77 | 94.1 | 106.6 | Q3 |
| 01/27 | AT | Coastal Carolina (#318) | L | 83 | - | 85 | 102.9 | 105.4 | Q4 |
| 02/01 | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 71 | - | 81 | 98.9 | 112.8 | Q3 | |
| 02/03 | Troy (#133) | L | 74 | - | 78 | 106.1 | 111.8 | Q3 |