| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | AT | South Alabama (#282) | L | 77.2 | - | 83.3 | 26.6% | Q4 |
| 02/10 | Buffalo (#342) | W | 77.8 | - | 73.1 | 69.1% | Q4 | |
| 02/15 | AT | Coastal Carolina (#318) | W | 76.6 | - | 76.5 | 50.4% | Q4 |
| 02/17 | AT | James Madison (#69) | L | 65.6 | - | 87.9 | 2.4% | Q1 |
| 02/22 | Texas St. (#255) | L | 70.2 | - | 70.8 | 47.4% | Q4 | |
| 02/24 | James Madison (#69) | L | 75.2 | - | 86.5 | 14.0% | Q2 | |
| 02/28 | Marshall (#220) | W | 78.9 | - | 77.6 | 55.2% | Q4 | |
| 03/01 | Old Dominion (#272) | W | 79.4 | - | 75.9 | 64.2% | Q4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | AT | Georgia Tech (#126) | L | 62 | - | 84 | 87.9 | 119.1 | Q2 |
| 11/11 | AT | Eastern Michigan (#338) | L | 60 | - | 70 | 90.2 | 105.2 | Q4 |
| 11/14 | AT | Jacksonville (#283) | L | 68 | - | 85 | 97.4 | 121.7 | Q4 |
| 11/19 | VS | Kennesaw St. (#260) | L | 92 | - | 96 | 113.3 | 118.3 | Q4 |
| 11/20 | AT | East Carolina (#177) | L | 64 | - | 82 | 93.0 | 119.1 | Q3 |
| 11/21 | VS | Northeastern (#238) | L | 76 | - | 93 | 112.2 | 137.2 | Q4 |
| 11/28 | AT | Michigan St. (#19) | L | 55 | - | 86 | 74.6 | 116.6 | Q1 |
| 12/02 | Jacksonville (#283) | L | 79 | - | 81 | 127.1 | 130.3 | Q4 | |
| 12/09 | AT | North Florida (#239) | L | 56 | - | 64 | 80.8 | 92.3 | Q3 |
| 12/12 | AT | Tennessee (#8) | L | 56 | - | 74 | 78.2 | 103.4 | Q1 |
| 12/16 | UNC Wilmington (#112) | L | 77 | - | 82 | 121.1 | 129.0 | Q3 | |
| 12/19 | VS | Florida Gulf Coast (#269) | L | 42 | - | 53 | 67.2 | 84.8 | Q4 |
| 12/30 | Southern Miss (#230) | W | 88 | - | 67 | 115.3 | 87.8 | Q4 | |
| 01/04 | AT | Arkansas St. (#172) | L | 83 | - | 109 | 119.2 | 156.6 | Q3 |
| 01/06 | AT | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 76 | - | 68 | 116.6 | 104.3 | Q4 |
| 01/10 | AT | Marshall (#220) | L | 74 | - | 79 | 109.7 | 117.1 | Q3 |
| 01/13 | AT | Georgia St. (#219) | L | 62 | - | 90 | 83.8 | 121.7 | Q3 |
| 01/18 | Coastal Carolina (#318) | W | 73 | - | 70 | 100.0 | 95.9 | Q4 | |
| 01/20 | Georgia St. (#219) | W | 86 | - | 70 | 121.6 | 99.0 | Q4 | |
| 01/25 | AT | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 74 | - | 84 | 102.8 | 116.6 | Q2 |
| 01/27 | AT | Old Dominion (#272) | W | 76 | - | 70 | 100.5 | 92.5 | Q4 |
| 02/01 | Troy (#133) | L | 63 | - | 84 | 91.8 | 122.4 | Q3 | |
| 02/03 | Appalachian St. (#82) | L | 84 | - | 85 | 114.7 | 116.1 | Q3 |