| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | AT | Akron (#91) | L | 57.8 | - | 73.6 | 5.4% | Q2 |
| 02/10 | AT | Old Dominion (#272) | L | 65.6 | - | 67.5 | 41.6% | Q4 |
| 02/17 | Western Michigan (#285) | W | 73.7 | - | 66.1 | 78.6% | Q4 | |
| 02/20 | Bowling Green (#212) | W | 69.9 | - | 68.2 | 57.5% | Q4 | |
| 02/24 | AT | Miami OH (#226) | L | 66.1 | - | 71.6 | 27.7% | Q3 |
| 02/27 | Ball St. (#240) | W | 69.8 | - | 65.1 | 70.0% | Q4 | |
| 03/02 | AT | Kent St. (#174) | L | 69.0 | - | 74.9 | 26.6% | Q3 |
| 03/05 | AT | Northern Illinois (#287) | W | 72.8 | - | 72.0 | 53.6% | Q4 |
| 03/08 | Eastern Michigan (#338) | W | 74.1 | - | 59.5 | 93.4% | Q4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | AT | Oklahoma (#31) | L | 59 | - | 89 | 81.1 | 122.4 | Q1 |
| 11/11 | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | L | 64 | - | 74 | 95.6 | 110.5 | Q4 | |
| 11/13 | AT | Florida St. (#75) | L | 67 | - | 94 | 91.9 | 128.9 | Q2 |
| 11/15 | AT | South Florida (#107) | W | 68 | - | 63 | 95.2 | 88.2 | Q2 |
| 11/20 | VS | Siena (#359) | W | 70 | - | 56 | 111.1 | 88.9 | Q4 |
| 11/21 | VS | Stetson (#208) | L | 61 | - | 71 | 102.5 | 119.3 | Q4 |
| 11/29 | AT | Ohio St. (#72) | L | 61 | - | 88 | 88.1 | 127.1 | Q1 |
| 12/06 | Valparaiso (#258) | W | 71 | - | 67 | 103.8 | 98.0 | Q4 | |
| 12/09 | AT | Creighton (#17) | L | 64 | - | 109 | 88.6 | 150.8 | Q1 |
| 12/19 |
Davenport
|
W | 90 | - | 66 | 120.0 | 88.0 | - | |
| 12/21 | Detroit (#358) | W | 75 | - | 63 | 105.3 | 88.4 | Q4 | |
| 12/30 | AT | Loyola Chicago (#120) | L | 35 | - | 73 | 51.4 | 107.1 | Q2 |
| 01/02 | Buffalo (#342) | L | 64 | - | 76 | 93.4 | 110.9 | Q4 | |
| 01/06 | AT | Ball St. (#240) | W | 71 | - | 65 | 112.0 | 102.5 | Q4 |
| 01/09 | AT | Eastern Michigan (#338) | W | 80 | - | 64 | 119.1 | 95.3 | Q4 |
| 01/13 | Kent St. (#174) | W | 77 | - | 62 | 126.9 | 102.1 | Q4 | |
| 01/16 | AT | Ohio (#166) | L | 61 | - | 73 | 91.8 | 109.8 | Q3 |
| 01/19 | Toledo (#119) | W | 65 | - | 62 | 89.6 | 85.5 | Q3 | |
| 01/23 | Miami OH (#226) | W | 71 | - | 55 | 107.9 | 83.6 | Q4 | |
| 01/27 | AT | Western Michigan (#285) | W | 62 | - | 55 | 92.3 | 81.9 | Q4 |
| 01/30 | Northern Illinois (#287) | W | 84 | - | 77 | 106.7 | 97.8 | Q4 | |
| 02/03 | AT | Bowling Green (#212) | W | 77 | - | 76 | 104.2 | 102.8 | Q3 |