| DATE | OPPONENT | PREDICTED RESULT | WIN PROB | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | AT | Texas St. (#255) | W | 68.9 | - | 58.3 | 87.0% | Q4 |
| 02/10 | Toledo (#119) | W | 75.9 | - | 70.0 | 73.7% | Q3 | |
| 02/15 | Marshall (#220) | W | 79.6 | - | 64.0 | 93.1% | Q4 | |
| 02/17 | Louisiana Lafayette (#122) | W | 73.6 | - | 66.2 | 78.4% | Q3 | |
| 02/22 | AT | Old Dominion (#272) | W | 70.2 | - | 60.7 | 83.8% | Q4 |
| 02/24 | AT | Marshall (#220) | W | 73.2 | - | 67.9 | 71.0% | Q3 |
| 02/28 | Old Dominion (#272) | W | 79.9 | - | 62.6 | 95.0% | Q4 | |
| 03/01 | Arkansas St. (#172) | W | 79.5 | - | 67.3 | 89.2% | Q4 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | OFF. EFF. | DEF. EFF. | QUAD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 |
Oakland City
|
W | 87 | - | 49 | 116.4 | 65.6 | - | |
| 11/11 | AT | Northern Illinois (#287) | L | 78 | - | 91 | 98.5 | 114.9 | Q4 |
| 11/14 | AT | Oregon St. (#167) | L | 71 | - | 81 | 97.2 | 110.9 | Q3 |
| 11/21 | VS | UNC Wilmington (#112) | W | 86 | - | 56 | 128.9 | 83.9 | Q3 |
| 11/22 | VS | Murray St. (#121) | W | 67 | - | 57 | 97.7 | 83.1 | Q3 |
| 11/26 | Austin Peay (#245) | W | 78 | - | 58 | 118.2 | 87.9 | Q4 | |
| 11/29 | East Tennessee St. (#221) | W | 72 | - | 61 | 111.7 | 94.6 | Q4 | |
| 12/03 | Auburn (#6) | W | 69 | - | 64 | 107.9 | 100.0 | Q1 | |
| 12/05 |
Central Penn
|
W | 111 | - | 35 | 133.3 | 42.0 | - | |
| 12/13 | AT | Queens (#274) | W | 93 | - | 81 | 129.9 | 113.2 | Q4 |
| 12/16 | VS | Gardner Webb (#182) | W | 80 | - | 59 | 112.6 | 83.0 | Q3 |
| 12/21 | VS | UNC Asheville (#168) | L | 63 | - | 76 | 89.6 | 108.1 | Q3 |
| 12/30 | Louisiana Monroe (#294) | W | 67 | - | 55 | 103.3 | 84.8 | Q4 | |
| 01/04 | AT | South Alabama (#282) | W | 91 | - | 84 | 115.1 | 106.2 | Q4 |
| 01/06 | AT | Troy (#133) | L | 62 | - | 66 | 90.3 | 96.2 | Q3 |
| 01/11 | AT | Coastal Carolina (#318) | W | 70 | - | 45 | 107.3 | 69.0 | Q4 |
| 01/13 | AT | James Madison (#69) | W | 59 | - | 55 | 87.7 | 81.7 | Q1 |
| 01/17 | Georgia St. (#219) | W | 76 | - | 68 | 110.8 | 99.1 | Q4 | |
| 01/20 | Coastal Carolina (#318) | W | 88 | - | 59 | 125.2 | 84.0 | Q4 | |
| 01/25 | Georgia Southern (#293) | W | 84 | - | 74 | 116.6 | 102.8 | Q4 | |
| 01/27 | James Madison (#69) | W | 82 | - | 76 | 107.8 | 100.0 | Q2 | |
| 02/01 | AT | Georgia St. (#219) | W | 81 | - | 71 | 112.8 | 98.9 | Q3 |
| 02/03 | AT | Georgia Southern (#293) | W | 85 | - | 84 | 116.1 | 114.7 | Q4 |